Existing Home Sales Rise 1.1% in May

June 21, 2017 LBM Journal

WASHINGTON — Existing-home sales rebounded in May following a notable decline in April, and low inventory levels helped propel the median sales price to a new high while pushing down the median days a home is on the market to a new low, according to the National Association of Realtors. All major regions except for the Midwest saw an increase in sales last month.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, climbed 1.1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.62 million in May from a downwardly revised 5.56 million in April. Last month’s sales pace is 2.7% above a year ago and is the third highest over the past year.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says sales activity expanded in May as more buyers overcame the increasingly challenging market conditions prevalent in many areas. “The job market in most of the country is healthy and the recent downward trend in mortgage rates continues to keep buyer interest at a robust level,” he said. “Those able to close on a home last month are probably feeling both happy and relieved. Listings in the affordable price range are scarce, homes are coming off the market at an extremely fast pace and the prevalence of multiple offers in some markets are pushing prices higher.”

The median existing-home price for all housing types in May was $252,800. This surpasses last June ($247,600) as the new peak median sales price, is up 5.8% from May 2016 ($238,900) and marks the 63rd straight month of year-over-year gains.

Total housing inventory at the end of May rose 2.1% to 1.96 million existing homes available for sale, but is still 8.4% lower than a year ago (2.14 million) and has fallen year-over-year for 24 consecutive months. Unsold inventory is at a 4.2-month supply at the current sales pace, which is down from 4.7 months a year ago.

“Home prices keep chugging along at a pace that is not sustainable in the long run,” added Yun. “Current demand levels indicate sales should be stronger, but it’s clear some would-be buyers are having to delay or postpone their home search because low supply is leading to worsening affordability conditions.”

Properties typically stayed on the market for 27 days in May, which is down from 29 days in April and 32 days a year ago; this is the shortest timeframe since NAR began tracking in May 2011. Short sales were on the market the longest at a median of 94 days in May, while foreclosures sold in 48 days and non-distressed homes took 27 days. Fifty-five% of homes sold in May were on the market for less than a month (a new high).

Inventory data from realtor.com reveals that the metropolitan statistical areas where listings stayed on the market the shortest amount of time in May were Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, Wash., 20 days; San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, Calif., 24 days; San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, Calif., 25 days; and Salt Lake City, Utah and Ogden-Clearfield, Utah, both at 26 days.

“With new and existing supply failing to catch up with demand, several markets this summer will continue to see homes going under contract at this remarkably fast pace of under a month,” said Yun.

According to Freddie Mac, the average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage decreased for the second consecutive month, dipping to 4.01% in May from 4.05% in April. The average commitment rate for all of 2016 was 3.65%.

First-time buyers were 33% of sales in May, which is down from 34% in April but up from 30% a year ago. NAR’s 2016 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers – released in late 2016 – revealed that the annual share of first-time buyers was 35%.

Earlier this month, NAR hosted the Sustainable Homeownership Conference at University of California’s Memorial Stadium in Berkeley. A white paper titled, “Hurdles to Homeownership: Understanding the Barriers,” was released, which honed in on the five main reasons why first-time buyers are failing to make up a greater share of the market.

“Of the barriers analyzed in the white paper, single-family housing shortages will be the biggest challenge for prospective first-time buyers this year,” said President William E. Brown, a Realtor from Alamo, Calif. “Those hoping to buy an entry-level, single-family home continue to see minimal choices. The best advice for these home shoppers is to know what you can afford, lean on the guidance of a Realtor and act fast once an ideal property within the budget is listed.”

All-cash sales were 22% of transactions in May, up from 21% in April and unchanged from a year ago. Individual investors, who account for many cash sales, purchased 16% of homes in May, up from 15% in April and 13% a year ago. Sixty-four% of investors paid in cash in May.

Distressed sales – foreclosures and short sales – were 5% of sales in May, unchanged from April and down from 6% a year ago. Four percent of May sales were foreclosures and 1% were short sales. Foreclosures sold for an average discount of 20% below market value in May (18% in April), while short sales were discounted 16% (12% in April).

Single-family and Condo/Co-op Sales

Single-family home sales increased 1.0% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.98 million in May from 4.93 million in April, and are now 2.7% above the 4.85 million pace a year ago. The median existing single-family home price was $254,600 in May, up 6.0% from May 2016.

Existing condominium and co-op sales climbed 1.6% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 640,000 units in May, and are 3.2% higher than a year ago. The median existing condo price was $238,700 in May, which is 4.8% above a year ago.

Source: National Association of Realtors

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